Forecast

I am just going to show you two. So we have, our first one is uh, we can predict why from the mediator variable.

And they're predictable. So it's not hard to design

Do research where two models are competing against one another.

Bush count 'em again ... You can violate your expectations about experience.

These are old faculty salaries.

XTide Tide Predictor

Monthly estimates

What did you expect when you made it?

The other equation is the prediction equation, so let's go from X1 to X2.

It's structured as an X coordinate, a Y coordinate, and also a heading direction, and these 3 values together comprise a single guess, but a single guess is not a filter.

Let me mention three reasons why it's too simple.

So this happens in physics all the time.

What's our time frame?

I don't know what you do.

Anticipation.

There's also a measurement update step where we use the measurement z.

An amount with which the precision of a measurement can be estimated.

Here are the latest projections.

Because we can anticipate, forecast what the speaker is likely to say.

Formally, this operation of bringing in everything that c could become, because we're expecting to see a c, is known as predicting.

Before, when we just did simple regression, that was our equation.

And then I'll observe again the 2.

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Here are my best guesses. Okay?

Try to feel his next movement.

Take upstairs.

We're expecting resistance

And then, we'll do multiple regression. And we're not gonna get crazy, we're just gonna put two predictors in.

We can just conclude that. This more complex model.

And the reason that we need to use science is because then we can reproduce what we're doing it's not just wisdom or guesswork.

That's a bit unusual.

It is unexpected what breaks out.

We cannot predict what will happen.

Neither did we... sir.

We actually think the future's going to be event driven.

So that's a toggler.

You can follow it through the fossil record.

And they estimated that in 2008,

And who knows?

Have you anydea how he intends to do that?

You won't see the next one coming either.

So, we're assuming all these three positively co related.

So, we went to the finance industry.

They can keep this information straight and that means that we can process the information.