And it's only his first dealing rap so, worstcase scenario, you know, they plead him out.

What's the worst case scenario?

It's the same word, essentially, other things . And paribus, equal .

What's my worst case scenario?

So, let's think about all of the scenarios.

I will do a couple more of these.

Well, which scenario is more likely?

Let's think about how much money we can make in different scenarios.

That gets us right about there.

So let's say scenario F. Let's call these scenarios.

And I'll do one more scenario, here.

And that's not the worst part.

Fifteen percent said they thought there'd be a pandemic within three years.

So we're gonna have multiple scenarios here.

I'm for going with the radiation scenario.

Let's say I'm the guy that bought this share from the short seller.

But they're not there.

Actually I've run out of time in the studio.

Let's say this is 2..4..6..8 and 10.

So, uh, what's the link between China and a shoot game?

We can use that in the worstcase scenario.

And I'll show you how that's done in a reasonably fair way.

So this is Scenario C.

That's not very good for doctors' business.

For too long, we have peddled a nightmarish vision of what's going to happen.

Race scenario drawing tool

Zero rabbits, 300 berries. That's right over there.

At 2 we would supply 2000 pounds.

That's about right.

This is 2500 pounds gets us right over here.

So that is 4.

This column I put my quantity demanded.

And of course the hindsight bias is perfect.

So Scenario A, price is 2 60,000 units are demanded.

Business is bad, and the outlook for next year is even worse.

Another way of thinking about it is each of these scenarios this is a scenario heads, heads because you got a heads and then a heads.

They only wanted to know about the risks from the nuclear incident.

This is worth something to someone.

Now, let's plot these points, these different scenarios.

What we want to do is make the future.

So the owners of the company own all 1 million, if you believe that this is really worth 1 million.

Or what is this investment worth to me at that point?

So that is right around there.

So we'll call that scenario B.

And I'll do one more scenario.