Is it something that can hurt us? It's a bird.

We heard here yesterday Quyen talking about the adverse event trait in prostate cancer.

This is in 13 hospitals in four countries, and since 2010, we've done well over 2,000 surgeries with no clinically adverse events.

There is no denying the fact that smoking is harmful.

What she didn't learn until she started working this problem is vermiculite is a very toxic form of asbestos.

Not as unlikely as one in 73 million, but nonetheless rather unlikely.

A Bayes network is composed of nodes.

And this whole phenomenon of having short bursts of time to get things done reminds me of another thing that doesn't work when you're interrupted, and that is sleep.

We're all trapped in these lines! These long lines trying to get on an airplane!

Mutually Exclusive.

Oh, well, they find it to be intellectual property theft.

We live in a world in which the most culturally innocuous symbols,

The next ticket is pulled out to determine the winner of the second prize.

And the idea is very simple.

I am the mascot of an evil corporation.

Beliefs are not true or false

The dead Marine's father, he's on our watch list.

Now we can't say there are two equally likely events

These substances are not poisonous in themselves.

(Laughter)

That's our third roll.

Written this way, it looks really clumsy, but that's effectively what we did when we went to the truth table.

I do not use them as weapons.

So if you want to figure out the probability of rolling doubles... ....the probability of rolling doubles, which is a compound event.... ...It has more than one event associated with it, more than one simple event associated with it.

There's a lot of toxic waste, a lot of things that were dumped there that are now becoming airborne.

Now before we even think about this exact case, let's think about what it means for events to be independent.

Likewise, your probability of losing well, there are two ways you can lose out of three possibilities, going to be two thirds.

It is when it effects my business.

This medicine has no harmful side effects.

This medicine has no harmful side effects.

The second event the outcomes for it, are dependent on what happened in the first event.

All of a sudden, your infrastructure fails after applying the patch. What is the cause of the error.

Reading is harmless.

Smoking is harmful to health.

But there aren't really two equally likely events

And once you've done this, I want you to compute the mean of the outcome and the standard deviation.

Piano

Yes, a venomous lizard native to North America.

The key thing to realize is that the left handed coordinate system is equally valid.

Three of them are incidents that we haven't been aware of.

Compound event Fancy word for saying that there's more than one outcome that we can say that this event has happened.

Murdered famous painter.

Now how many of these possibilities, how many of these outcomes, how many of these simple events meet the constraints of our compound event?

Preparation. If you are prepared you'll be happy.

One technique to deal with the overfitting problem is called Laplace smoothing.