Now, that's a logical error.

And dolphins are very promiscuous, and so we have to determine who the fathers are, so we do paternity tests by collecting fecal material out of the water and extracting DNA.

We assessed his potential with the BinetSimon Test.

Because the laws are very specific.

They told us that Joe wasn't Tyler's father.

Check

Inspection?

Analyze.

Okay, but in addition, voice based tests are non expert.

I've been to my oncologist, Jesse just last week.

Can I look at the fast?

(Laughter)

Let's assume the probability of the test coming out positive given that we don't have this cancer is 0.2.

Each of you has failed my test.

In our cancer example, we know that the prior probability of cancer is 0.01, which is the same as 1 .

And what's the same for P( C, Neg).

Specifically, the joint probabilities.

The probability of a positive test and having cancer.

The tests aren't a hundred percent accurate, but...

A biopsy.

The BinetSimon.

It's the inspection team.

For example, the doctor doesn't get to measure every symptom or every test result, and she's certainly uncertain about the diseases that the patient has.

I can actually measure this with a 50 dollar ohmmeter from Home Depot.

Implementation of genetic testing in healthcare systems

IMPLEMENTATION OF GENETIC TESTING IN HEALTHCARE SYSTEMS

The ultrasound that I just showed her in there was not her ultrasound.

Look at the outcome as blocks.

So, the test really helped us gaining confidence that we are cancer free.

In this example, we again might have our unobservable cancer C, but now we're running 2 tests, test 1 and test 2.

Now comes the hard part

Recommendation 2

There's a big clot in the middle of the artery.

What about ballistics?

Ballistics.

Do you have the results?

I'll test him again.

How's the blood?

Which is the test they're going to run that will tell us whether or not Caster Semenya is male or female?

Just to check suppose probability of cancer is 0.1, the sensitivity is 0.9, specificity is 0.8.

Now, what's remarkable about this outcome is really what it means.

That means that is not giving any false positives or any false negatives.

Obviously trial and error is very important.

We can tell with absolute certainty that the person has cancer, and we can determine what the outcome of the test is.

So, for this one, we want to apply total probability.