They are not discrete values.

It is continuous that is all measurements are continuous and all actions tend to be continuous.

Chance of precipitation, about 20 percent today, 20 percent tomorrow.

And when will you call? At eight in the morning.

And these are mutually exclusive events, you can't have both of them

Then the value of the state for the action go up would be obtained as follows.

Probability

Phil, the odds against

What we're going to see in this video is that random variables come in two varieties.

So this bond becomes a Double A bond.

You might say OK, that's the probably of getting exactly 1 times the probability of getting 2 out of 3 plus the probability of getting 3 out of 3.

What are the odds?

For example, in the last row we have a r and a t. r is 0.9.

In the next video, we'll continue this discussion and we'll take a little bit about the types of random variables you can have.

Up and down in a second. Up, down, up, down...

Let's use the Laplacian smoother with K 1 to calculate the few interesting probabilities

To change this example even further.

Probability of success

Probability of failure

The guys off the lane markings will get a 0.1. So the three guys over here.

The smallness of that probability is what we mean by extremity.

And we know that our variance is essentially the probability of success times the probability of failure.

Those values are discrete.

Then I just normalize.

That is not the case for song.

Okay.

Now, just one more thing.

We now apply Bayes rule.

And here is my answer. You can really read off the formula that I just gave you.

What's the probability of the joint X, Y?

When we wrap, eh?

If I pick a random T value, if I take a random T statistic

There's going to be a 10 percent chance you get a pretty good item.

Now let's have something a little bit more interesting.

Frack the odds.

Equally possible,

And it makes much more sense to talk about the probability or random variable equaling a value, or the probability that it is less than or greater than something or the probability that is has some property

If I keep expanding this, I get the following solution.

Thrun As usual, we can resolve this using Bayes' rule.

Question 1 In the first question, I'm going to ask you some very basic probability questions.

What's the probability of a tie?

Up it is.

In this case, there's only one such variable, Cloudy.

least maybe it doesn't make intuitive sense just yet, but I showed you that the probability of a and b is equal to the probability of a given b times the probability of b.

There's a 0.1 chance I might still be grumpy for some other reason.