And if you look at the end result, our estimate is almost exactly 11, which is the result of 10 1.

Yeah...

We investigate claims of the paranormal, pseudo science, fringe groups and cults, and claims of all kinds between, science and pseudo science and non science and junk science, voodoo science, pathological science, bad science, non science, and plain old non sense.

Observation is a passive science, experimentation an active science.

sciencey?

It also shaped Darwin's scientific method, as well as that used by his peers.

So it's 0, 0, 0, 0 please don't change it.

So we are a chemical scum that is different.

I'm limited by the technology of my time.

Zero to 10. How high? 10.

So that was the word model . What about probabilistic ? The word

It's 4.98.

Technology progresses steadily.

So the Meatless Monday compaign, here in New York, worked with us.

No neat packages of faith, with Bible references to prove them.

We have the same needs.

Then you arrive at a prediction that adds the motion of command to the mean, and it has an increased uncertainty over the initial uncertainty.

We've surrendered our power, trading off our discomfort with uncertainty for the illusion of certainty that they provide.

In this class so far we talked a good deal about planning.

I will find myself in the same state as before.

Probabilities are the cornerstone of artificial intelligence.

Kind of exciting.

I initialized both with 0 because I don't know the actual location and the velocity.

This is the truth, about death, the truth discovered by science, until now.

And here's the problem.

We talked about uncertainty and probabilities, and we also talked about learning, but all 3 items were discussed separately.

So I love this picture, there is so much in it.

No, skipper, that is a scientific impossibility.

Imagine juggling a snowball across the tropics.

Now, are we done? Have we written what we have here in scientific notation?

let's remember what it means to be in scientific notation.

Something Something scientific, right. What?

This all would work out really well if the initial estimate was 5, but we're setting it to 0 with a very large uncertainty of 10,000.

So today is an exciting day.

It's a very solitary creature.

Wow, wow!

And then the next update comes in at 6, and it gives us a measurement of 5.99 and now a reduced uncertainty of 2.39.

A gaussian with a small amount of uncertainty might look like this.

We talked about planning, but not under uncertainty, and you've had many, many classes of under uncertainty, and now it gets to the point where we can make decisions under uncertainty.

But it's not gone.

The velocity estimate is correctly 1, which is .99999, and I have yet another uncertainty matrix which illustrates

And fifth, the element of uncertainty.

But this is not quite official scientific notation.

Nye Now, um, space walks, launching Japanese modules, making scientific discoveries, that's routine.

This isn't very scientific.