This time it's about cancer testing.

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So that's what we're going to focus on.

And there's another in joke among statisticians, and that's,

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The first is death is a big problem.

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Now, to make this more concrete,

(Laughter)

A statistical edge?

This really flowered in the 2000s in terms of practical applications. But the basics had all been laid by the 1990s.

They say ignorance is bliss, but they are wrong all but finitely often.

Is it just about a lack of education?

What do you want?

Statistics textbooks, whether they're in Psychology, or Economics, or Sociology, or

You'll also learn about key underlying theory, from information theory, statistics, and machine learning.

I really realized my discovery.

This distinction is where most stats courses start off.

Or even the challenges of nation states in the modern global economy.

And that's indeed the case.

Daphne Koller So this is which coin you pick, and this is the two tosses.

It's proof time again! 3 AM in the recording studio. And as always, this is entirely optional.

So if we want the range, and we think of range in a statistics point of view.

So, we can construct methodologies that elicit these models from a human expert, or ones that learn it from historical data using statistical machine learning techniques, or a combination of the two.

So statistics is all about data.

And we'll start by thinking of the idea of average. And in every day terminology, average has a very particular meaning, as we'll see. When many people talk about average, they're talking about the arithmetic mean, which we'll see shortly.

If you did, you are a very capable statistician at this point.

And because of the intricate connection between probability theory and statistics, we can bring to bear a range of powerful learning methodologies from statistical learning to allow us to learn these models effectively from historical data.

Don't panic don't panic now, I'll help you through this.

In the United States, probably the most astonishing statistic is a 600 percent increase in autism and autistic spectrum disorders and other learning disabilities.

Now the computer knows as much about Kimble as you do.

Yes, statistical... So he...

And statistically speaking, there's very little chance for recovery.

So the, the mantra still applies, correlation does not imply causation. Um, and I like to put in here in my graduate level class.

It sounds arrogant to say that most people are smarter than the average person.

To which the answer is,

And, I'll dig into those in more detail in the segment three of the current lecture.

Although I did have a lot of Math and Statistical training as a graduate student.

That's what I am to you?

The statistical likelihood that our plan will succeed is less than 4.3 .

In this unit, I want to show you a problem that will illustrate how deep statistics can actually be.

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