They are changing rapidly, but not predictably.

Can be worse, can be better.

I am just going to show you two. So we have, our first one is uh, we can predict why from the mediator variable.

So this happens in physics all the time.

This should be very familiar to you.

I don't predict stock markets OK, it's not going up any time really soon.

And this is what the inevitable problem looks like.

So we may be able to go beyond that when thinking about this system that I'm showing you, and that is to say we need to think in terms of the water, the fresh water, which is also going to be an issue in the future, and we're working on methods now for recovering the waste water.

And who knows?

If we look into the future what's clear is that you could walk into the future blindfold.

An amount with which the precision of a measurement can be estimated.

So... With a peek into our future, Natalie Keener.

That's where, according to my analyses, the Iranians were at the beginning of this year.

And there's another example.

Before, when we just did simple regression, that was our equation.

And what I want to talk to you about today, and share with you, is that our healthcare system, our medical system, is just as bad at predicting what happens to people in it patients, others as those scouts were at predicting what would happen to Billy Beane.

Maybe its growth rate slows a little bit.

Who can predict what will happen in the future?

You take a look at this, this is not based on statistics.

And at this point, we decided

This source is dependable and predictable, but more research is still needed in this area.

So let's see how that works.

Forecast

It's miniscule, but it's a real coat. It's shaped like one.

Again, we wanna minimize the residuals.

In some problems that isn't a plausible model.

So let's talk about our first scenario here, where let's say this curve, people didn't expect prices to change for my e book and now all of a sudden, people expect there's a change in expectation.

Proportional to the magnitude of corresponding quakes.

So now expect the future price to go up. What's going to happen?

It is not mine to foretell the future.

So now you should be able to take a Markov chain and compute by hand or write a piece of software the probabilities of future states.

Anticipation.

Prompt action prevents trouble in the future.

And if the hypothesis outputs a value that's greater than equal to 0.5 you predict y equals one.

So the intercept is 33.16.

But most of the world in the middle are pushing forwards very fast.

It is equal to 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Dear Mr. White, due to unforeseen circumstances,

It's such a super stable business.

I can tell you exactly what happens.

That is a difference in correlations.

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Alan Kay is famous for saying the best way to predict the future is to invent it.

We need to delve into this mass of anatomy that we've been compiling to understand where the changes are occurring and what this means.

Klaus Wellershof An unbiased support for everyone?